Top Investment Ideas For 2025

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Top Investment Ideas For 2025 – Long View Podcast’s Best Portfolio Investing with my interview with directors, strategists and economists to invest in some key investment for 2025.

Last year I had the honor of talking to some of the top investment thinkers for the Podcast the Long View. Christine Benze, other colleagues and I have talked to portfolio directors, strategists and economists. Many – though far from everyone – from 2024 to my favorite moments from the year to a long point of view: an investment episode.

Top Investment Ideas For 2025

Top Investment Ideas For 2025

There were several common issues from the interviews. Since investors are thinking of setting up a portfolio for 2025, there are some ideas that I have considered to be an inspiration:

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Whether it is PrimCAP Management, Pimco CIO Dan Ivasin or market historian Jeremy Grantham’s investment team, several guests warned about the US stock market. This is not a secret that has a few handfuls of supplies. NVDIA NVDA and Microsoft MSFT have now surpassed $ 3 trillion dollar market capitalization; Amazon.com AMZN and Alphabet Google are more than $ 2 trillion; And Meta Platform Meta is coming to this brand. The level of concentration has increased significantly for 31% of the 10 best components of the United States Market Index account. It exceeds 24% of the level obtained at the end of the 90s.

“At one point, a large number of laws will begin,” said Joel Primcap fried at the beginning of 2024. In our opinion, this is an extremely high time. “

Grantham believes that an estimate bubble on enthusiasm for the promise of artificial intelligence was swollen. Comparing AI with the channel, railroad and the Internet, Grantham said: “When you develop this great development, they are exaggerated in the short term, crashes at a transition and then gets out of the ruins and change the world in the long run.”

Current Rewards reduce the chances of return for US stocks. The US Market Index is traded with more than 26 proportions of last price/income, which reminds the at the end of 90 and 2021, the shares continue in 2000 and 2022.

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“[A] is the current starting point of high -quality revenue of the worldwide bonds compared to its initial praise for its own capital, the yield will be very low in the next five or 10 years, will be very similar to very little instability or less uncertainty of fixed income. Even the distribution has a decent part of where the high -quality bonds have been overcome in the same period. “

Bonds are not heard in shares. The first decade of this century has created 6.4%of the average annual yield, while the return in the US market was negative during this period. Over the past few years, US investors have not had many reasons to produce their own bonds, but Pimco’s golden peer has used an unforgettable phrase to request investors. “

No one predicts the possibilities of AI’s conversion to the guests we spoke to. “AI is serious.” It will change all, “Grantham said. In the Fred Alger Management, Growth Shares investor shoots has taken a huge growth in productivity.” When software begins to write software, innovation becomes significant. Winners see the software chips, which is seeking technology agencies for innovative AI applications. ” Bring more molecules or test them further, ”he said.

Top Investment Ideas For 2025

Like any annoying technology, AI will bring the victims. Crafford considers many software companies to be weak. “[W] hat becomes a software company that is based on code? Is it good or bad for margins? The conclusion is that the margin structure will be under pressure for software companies over time. “

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We have talked to a number of directors who invest in small capital-class assets shares beyond popularity. The extended cap’s American small index increased in postering, just as after the elections in 20 2016 and 2021, but the last decade has loved companies larger than smaller companies. The latest calendar year, where the smaller caps have surpassed the US market despite the duration of strong economic growth and interest rates. Both have to strengthen the wealth class.

Although investors are suspicious to sing praise for their field, our guest JB Taylor Washing Global investors argued why JB Taylor, Brown Capital Keith Lee and Rice Charlie Drifas did not ignore us. Dryfus has been quoted with low -rate years and a “risk” that prefers the promotion of growth of large caps. Lee mentions a concession on which small companies trade. Taylor emphasizes the market leadership in the market and looks great on small caps:

“[I] F you have been back in the last 100 years, the average time of the larger beating of small or small rhythms is about 10 years.” And so it was the longest time of performance of the 14 -year -old chapter and it was a time toward internet bubble and milder; We haven’t seen these cheap vs large caps in any period of time in the last 25 years. “

Christine Benz and I had to talk to two great world investors on the stage at an investment conference on the beautiful Chicago summer afternoon. Harris Associates ‘David Hero and Zikiji Partners’ Rajiv Jain panel responded to “Yes”: “Should American investors recover their passport?” He reminded the audience that from 2000 to 2010: “In reality you haven’t really made any money in the United States.”

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Hero expects the situation to change. “I’m saying that if it looks bad in the rearview mirror, the windshield is really great” “he indicated a significant benefit of evaluation of international stocks.” They made 14%in the United States, 15%of the bonus. Today, this number is about 50%of the premium. “

Currency mobility contributed weak revenue to international shares to unlimited US investors. “Don’t forget the dollar in 20,” Hero said that the dollar award against the original global currency in the last ten years has created a situation where I am waiting for it, you have two positives: supply using underestimated currency. “

There is no shortage of investment opportunities in the United States in the eyes of our guests. Hero sees the value in many European societies. Jain is a fan of market development like India and Brazil. According to M&G’s Carl Vine, stock resources have an incredibly strong and possible long -term story about structural earnings for the Japanese class assets. “Vine Japanese small caps called” the most attractive small pocket of the Global Capital Market “. Invesco’s Justin Leverenz identified developing markets as” incredibly attractive “.

Top Investment Ideas For 2025

“I think all the big companies have been found in the United States are somewhat short things.” Obviously, the US market was very strong and there are many influential companies that live in the United States. But growingly, when you think about the global champions, they are residents, where they do business, nothing goes. And in some industries there is really no real competitor in the United States. “

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The Sens Camei Economic Aspect has recently expanded widely. How long did it take to discuss whether the US economy was moving towards “hard landing” or “soft landing”? Do you remember when the market in 2024 expected seven cuts of interest rates? We were lucky to get three.

Christine and I have asked Neil Schier about the capital economy if this time period was particularly difficult to predict. He said, “[T] there is a tendency to say at each time that the outlook is unusually uncertain.” Landscape T. The Sabastian page from Rowe Price is also quoting a scholar Koronavirus and observed that “stimulation has distorted all models”.

Economic predictions are difficult. In the short term, indicators such as gross domestic products, inflation and interest rates are affected by the complex interplay of variables – some are unexpected. Because of this, the implementation of the big investment of the big investment based on the economic attitude is to be implemented. The investor, who took the US stock and American bond in 2021, would expect a recession and cut off, frustrated.

Big bet can usually bounce. The speed is a strong power in the market, so we could see more in 2025.

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